We interrupt the destruction of our democracy...

 ... to focus your attention on the strength of Colombia's, where the Constitutional Court is set to reject a referendum on allowing Alvaro Uribe to run for a third consecutive term.

The Court's decision has not been announced, but it has been widely leaked. You can follow the developments in the mainstream media, or better still, via the great Colombian blog La Silla Vacía

To a lot of people, Uribe is an authoritarian leader. But he's an authoritarian leader of a democratic state.

Chávez, on the other hand, is the authoritarian leader of an authoritarian state. This distinction makes all the difference in the world.

Update: El Tiempo has confirmed the Court rejected the referendum on a 7 to 2 vote.

Update 2: Quote of the day: "Citizens' participation cannot go against the Constitution." Alvaro Uribe. You can put that one in stone.

 

46 comments

How selective do you want to be?
 
   Quico

As if on cue to underline the importance of free courts...

...could we have a more vivid Compare & Contrast? 

   Juan Cristobal

exactly

PSFs ... start your fuming ... what was that again about Alvaro Uribe being a worse autocrat than Esteban??

   Santiago García

I'm thinking the exact same

I'm thinking the exact same thing. Sure, Uribe may have something of an authoriratian bent, but he'll grit his teeth and accept this decision. Esteban would have thrown the entire court in jail for being agents of the Empire.

Anonymous 1
   Anonymous

Good News

Yes, the parallel with whatever we call He who has so many names because when all is said and done, he has no name, is worth noting.

No tiene nombre. Esteban, Chacumbele.....

It is also good news.

Boludo Tejano

Anonymous 2
Anonymous 3
Anonymous 4
   admin

Juan, chamo, don't be a rookie...

...don't you know that under neoliberal imperialism it's the *Alliance* of transnational capital and the local ruling class that holds power? Uribe's neither here nor there - the reactionary, paramilitary-infused right wing dictatorship will go on under one guise or another, killing peasant and labour leaders, helping the CIA smuggle drugs north, etc.
The left's discourse can assimilate an event like today's in stride. It's no problem for them. 
And while I find that kind of analysis 98% silly, when you think through the chances of a guy like Santos taking over from Uribe you can't call it 100% silly. 

   Quico

Santos Paracos, Batman!

(That last comment was mine, btw...I have to log in as admin to erase comment spam and sometimes I forget to switch back to this account after I do...)
I don't really understand enough about Colombian politics to know if this comment is sensible or not, but here goes anyway:
From my limited knowledge of the situation, it sure seems like the dynamic in the presidential race over there is going to be dominated by a mad-rush to be "more Uribista than Uribe." Uribe's brand is so powerful that nobody can afford to be seen as a weaker version of him, people need to portray themselves as being AS tough or tougher than the incumbent to be competitive.
So it seems perfectly possible that we'll end up with a Colombian president who's even to the right of Uribe, possibly someone like Santos of unimpeachable hawkish credentials. 
Could that *seriously* destabilize relations with Venezuela? What happens if Chávez becomes a kind of scarecrow in the campaign, with candidates competing in trying to stake out *the* toughest line on Venezuela? What if the one-upmanship dynamic ends up with somebody in a debate vowing to bomb FARC camps inside Venezuelan territory? 
That's a lot of what-ifs, but the point remains. We need to be cautious here. With Uribe, we knew what we were dealing with: lots of tough-guy talk, but no serious chance of a shooting war along the border. With some whacked-out paraco well to Uribe's right?!
Seems dangerous...

   Juan Cristobal

Other Uribista candidates

 I think Santos has the right-of-Uribe market cornered, but there is a real possibility of someone to camp out the slightly-left-than-Uribe-and-yet-Uribista camp, someone like Noemi Sanin. The other wild card seems to be Sergio Fajardo, the former Medellin mayor.
Regardless, none of these three seem like they would change things significantly with regards to Chavez. In Colombia, the oligarchy is always in charge. In that sense, Chavez is right.
But what the hell do I know...

   Juan Cristobal

oh, and let's not forget

 Colombia has a runoff vote.

   Kepler

How chavistas spin it

Juan, it is amazing how chavistas interpret the whole story. Take a look at the Aporrea site or VTV: "no es no", "el pueblo le dijo que no", etc.
These guys are more rabid fanatical than anything I ever thought possible: never mind the Venezuelan judges don't have the cojones to do what the colombian judges did.

Anonymous 5
   Anonymous

Of course he will not run

and now it's time to finally really give it back to the asshole that has offended him soooo many times. And if "his" people don't understand that he just had to blow off some steam for his mental sanity, so be it.

I guarantee y'all he is at peace with himself, while his nemesis is not.

Anonymous 6
   Anonymous

Now that Uribe won't be running...

I wonder if the next Colombian president would be able to change the rules of the game, like Uribe tried to do, or will the candidates be able to understand the consequences of such action and not touch that subject.

I'm looking at those pretenders who are the candidates for the Partido Liberal and the Polo Democratico, respectively. But also at the soon-to-be-candidate for one of the other has-been parties, like the Conservador.

   jfombona
   Roy

A moment to think about Chile...

I wish to take a moment to send my condolences to our brothers in Chile who are suffering and counting their dead today. Chile, another victory for liberal democracy in Latin America is managing the after-affects of a massive earthquake that damaged buildings and infrastructure in their capital, killed an unknown number of people and injured far more.

However, all of the institutions of that country are functioning. Civil defense is working to rescue the trapped, hospitals and doctors are treating the injured. The police are maintaining order and the public has been described as "calm". The government is coordinating all efforts and keeping the public informed and reassured. All of their technical data has been shared with international agencies to allow tsunami predictions and warnings to take place. So far, it appears to be a model of how these incidents are supposed to be handled.

So, I offer Chile my condolences in this hour of grief, but also my admiration for how well they are managing this disaster.

Ask yourself, how would today's Venezuela manage an equivalent disaster?

Anonymous 7
   Anonymous

Thinking about Chile

Roy - I concur with your sentiments about Chile. However, you appear to have jumped the gun. Watching a host of channels from Telesur, the CNN's, to Chilean TV, the extent of the damage has not yet been fully established at this moment in time which is almost 1pm Caracas time.

Your final comment questioning Venezuela's ability to handle a similiar distater is contentious since we do not know how well the Chileans will handle it themselves with international help due to go pouring in.

The epicenter was in the Maule valley which is sparsely inhabited. Thus, when you say "handle a similar distater" you should really be honest and accurate and differentiate between outlying virtually uninhabited areas and conurbations such as Port au Prince and, what you are probably thinking of, Caracas.

Remember, or maybe you don't, the good job the government did here after the vaguada in Vargas in December 1999 when rescuing people. Thus, don't imply that Venezuela could not handle a similar tragedy when most recent evidence points to the complete opposite of what you are implying.

   Kepler

John, are you under drugs?

The government was completely inept. JVR kept telling us also there were just a few dozen dead...for days, when the many corpses were reaching the coast along Patanemo-Puerto cabello-Morón.

Actually, several organizations warned the government and asked it to POSTPONE the referendum but Hugo the Small did not want to, so he was against taking people out of those places...this lead to the death of many more. That was Hugo.

As for today: Vargas is still a wasteland.

Anonymous 8
   CC

Stop the name calling

John, Kepler, this is supposed to be a place for rational discussion. Shouldn't rational people stop calling names about each other, or stop judging the state of each other's brain, or stop judging the intake of drugs of each other?

Also, John, the fact that one person said that Caldera couldn't handle the situation is a proof of nothing concerning the topic. It only accounts for the opinion of that person, who, as we have no idea who said it, might not have given an informed opinion.

   Roy

How would Venezuela handle a disaster?

Anon,

While I suspect that the current Venezuelan government would handle a similar disaster poorly, I cannot "know" that. That is why I framed my comment the way I did. I simply asked people to consider it and come to their own conclusions.

As for how well Chile is handling it, I am sure their are plenty of opportunities for blunders, and we were only hours into the disaster when I wrote that. However, I was watching the coverage on CNNE and was impressed that the civil authorities appeared to be well in control of the situation and the government was making regular announcements and appeared on top of it. I did not compare it to the situation in Haiti. I am sure that the Chavistas, on their worst day, could do better than that. I was not thinking of a disaster in Caracas, or any other place in particular.

As for Vargas, I wasn't here then and can't really comment, though someone else did. In any case, that was quite some time ago. After so much time in which the civil authorities have been under the control of the Chavistas, I shudder to think about their current level of training, equipment and preparedness.

In any case, the last time we had an earthquake here, as I remember, the correct authorities could not even be contacted by the news channel to confirm what had happened. The real story turned out to be the reaction of the government when Globovision reported the earthquake before they did.

In any case, let's just hope we can avoid having anything happen here that would serve to allow comparison.

Anonymous 9
   CaterinaCK

To begin with

Thank you guys for thinking about Chile right now. It was a heavy earthquake, really big: 8.8 Richter scale.

I won't enter the debate regarding Venezuela's capacity to handle a terremote like this. However, keep in mind that Chile is located in a sysmic area, hence it is prepared to tackle the situation. Contingency strategies have existed for decades. When it comes to readiness, Chile is much, much closer to Japan's capabilities to manage the disaster than to Haiti. Of course, it would have been worse if the epicenter had been Santiago, but it ridiculous to think that it Santiago would look anything like Port Au Prince. In 1985, a similar quake hit Santiago and the city held its own, save for some very old buildings. The same happened today, there's some damaged infrastructure, but it is not very serious. The same cannot be said for Juan Fernandez island, which is under water. Nonetheless, the alert system worked just in time, so plenty of people were able to "run to the hills"

It is too early to tell whether Chile will need, or not, international assistance. So far, President Bachelet and her cabinet are handling the situation just fine. The upcoming administration is also following closely the situation and are working in close collaboration.

People are prepared, and know what to do when a quake strikes. Schools train kids for situations like this,every 4 months or so, students have safety and evacuation rehearsals.

Again, thanks for caring :)

Anonymous 10
   Kepler

John, how can you have a Venezuelan passport

tell us...when did you arrive to Venezuela?

Anonymous 11
Anonymous 12
   Roy

Wow, are you irritating...

John,

You have to learn your new job better. The idea is appear to be the voice of reason, while spreading the party-line propaganda. This means that you can't take offense and thus appear petty. To do this effectively requires some subtlety.

I, on the other hand, am beholden to no one, and free to call 'em like I see 'em. That means I can freely insult you and not lose. You are not in the same position. By the use of an insult that was almost too direct to even be called back-handed, I got you to come out and call me "stupid" in so many words, meaning I got under your skin.

Go back and read the PSF Handbook again.

   Quico

Why doesn't IACHR investigate paramilitary massacre in Colombia?

Oh wait, they do.

Anonymous 13
Anonymous 14
   Anonymous

You know how I know you're retarded, John?

You link to an article that claims things like "After Chavez successfully gained the first release of the FARC prisoners ever, on January 11, 2008" (emphasis mine), which points to an article from pravda (aka, the Russian version of Weekly Word News or The National Enquirer), which in turn was a translation of an article in portuguese published on "O Estado de Sao Paulo".

And THEN you claim crap like "Now, Juan, if you admire a state which allows such slaughter, you must still admire what Pinochet did and support the Pinochet Foundation?"

Let's see, the AUC activities cover a period of around 20 years (1980's-2003). Should I mention how many people have been murdered in Venezuela in the last five years? (Hint: the number is much higher than the deaths caused by the AUC). Now tell me, Johnny, which country's government spent the most money trying to capture/kill those who committed those murders? The Colombian government who has their military on full alert every day trying to smack down all the various groups of retards-with-guns-and-a-mission who plague the hillsides, or the Venezuelan government who has never moved a single finger to even pretend to try to reduce the murder rate in Venezuela and actually does a lot to arm the various groups (La Piedrita, Tupamaros, etc) that committed a sizable amount of those murders?

Which "state allows such slaughter", eh? The one that spends a huge chunk of its GDP trying to stop it or the one that it's too busy creating ALBA houses in Bolivia and giving gifts to Cuba to bother thinking about all those that get killed in the barrios every day?

And do take into account that most of the time when the AUC was ravaging through Colombia, the presidents were liberals (Virgilio Varco 86-90, César Gaviria 90-94, and Ernesto Samper 94-98). But clearly Uribe is to blame for what the AUC was doing before he became a president, right?

Anonymous 15
Anonymous 16
Anonymous 17
Anonymous 18
   Quico

Which part of Colombia's constitution brings back these 2000?

 Sorry, Deedle - Uribe stepped over lines that would land anybody normal in jail for a very long time. 

   Juan Cristobal

Not to defend Uribe or anything...

 ... but how is he guilty of this?

   Kepler

Juan, ask that about

Hugo of Sabaneta, about anyone else anywhere. At the very least, he is not aware of what his people are doing. And 2000 (min) is a lot.
This is nothing new and he needed at the very least to keep an eye on it, to push for investigations, etc.

   Quico

Uribe had to have known about Macarena murders

 carried out years into his term, apparently by elements of an army that Uribe dedicated all of his time to leading, it's very, very hard to see how an operation this size gets going without the top guy knowing about it, or at least creating a climate in the security forces that generates incentives for this kind of thing (c.f., in this regard, "false positives.")
This is classic Draining-the-Swamp counterinsurgency: FARC were hard to counter in that area because they had solid support from the civilian population. Get rid of the civilian support network and you get rid of FARC. 
Here, again, is where we get to Colombia's weird double nature as a functioning democratic state led by a guy with a terrifying comfort level with violence, because the Colombian state *is* investigating the mass grave (through the Fiscalía) and it doesn't seem that's a process the army or the executive can really control. 
I don't know how you can prosecute a National Hero like Uribe, even if direct evidence linking him personally to these crimes is produced. I do think that, in time, Colombians are going to reckon squarely with these issues. We're talking about mass graves, man...
But here we come back to why it's so important that Uribe won't be allowed to stand again. The Colombian state's ability to sustain the independence of the branches of government isn't limitless, and nothing would do more to undermine it than perpetual re-election. 

Anonymous 19
   Anonymous

Macarena graveyard

Adam Isacson had an article about this:

http://www.cipcol.org/?p=1325

Basically, it's waaaay too early to point fingers in any directions.

Santiago García

   Quico

Good catch, Santiago...

...so the violations aren't as brazen as first appeared.  
My sense is that, over the next generation, Colombians are going to have to reassess the Uribe period. For ordinary Colombians, finally able to live and travel around in safety under a state that actually asserts control over most of the places where people actually live, is a massive improvement, no doubt about it, and nobody's going to take that away from Uribe.
That Colombians don't seem to much care if a few hundred indigents got shot up in the process by overeager army commanders looking to juke the stats is a testament to the coarsening of public morals there under the anguish caused by war. I find it really hard to accept, but then again, I didn't ever have to live in a country constantly on the edge, so it's hard to put myself in their shoes.
For now, though, the important thing is that there appear to be state structures independent enough to take up the strain in Colombia, investigating what needs investigating and responding to citizens demands. That Colombia appears to be emerging from 45 years of civil war with a democratic state more or less intact is an amazing achievement. But by trying to stay on and on in power, Uribe shifted his role from that of the Hero of the story to something much more mixed: someone who might have destroyed his own achievement if he'd gotten his way. 

Anonymous 20
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