Let the analyzing begin…

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Katy says: First off, the CNE website is already publishing detailed results by voting center. This is a welcome change, and we are finally seeing the result of all the money that was spent on these high-tech machines.

Here are some interesting things I am picking up at 1:40 pm Monday, Venezuela time:

– Chávez appears to be winning in every state. States where Chavez’s margin of victory is closest: Zulia (Chávez by less than a percentage point), Táchira (1,5 percentage points), Mérida (3 percentage points). One surprise for Chavez was Nueva Esparta, a place where the opposition still holds a governorship but that went to Chavez by 17 percentage points.

– Large states where Rosales did particularly poorly: Aragua (71-28), Lara (64-35), Bolívar (66-32), Monagas (70-29).

– Rosales trounced Chavez in opposition strongholds Baruta (75-23), Chacao (76-23), Los Salias (69-30) and El Hatillo (79-20).

– Sucre, a big Caracas municipality, went to Chavez by a hair, 51-47.

– Municipio Libertador went to Chavez by roughly the same margin as the rest of the country, according to current results: 61-38. Carabobo state went to Chavez, 60-39.

– Surprisingly, the most chavista state in the union is Portuguesa, where Chávez won by a whopping 74.87%. Close runners-up are more expected: Delta Amacuro, Amazonas and Sucre.

– Venezuela’s political parties, according to the percentage of the popular vote they got in this election:

1. MVR (Chavez) – 40.93% of the vote
2. Un Nuevo Tiempo (Oppo) – 13.48%
3. Primero Justicia (Oppo) – 12.24%
4. Podemos (Chavez) – 6.3%
5. PPT (Chavez) – 4.76%
6. PCV (Chavez) – 2.93%
7. COPEI (Oppo) – 2.21%

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