For an analyst, the big frustration this election cycle is that we don’t have available the type of circuit-by-circuit polling widely seen as the gold standard in an election like this. But armed with the expanding data trove in the Swing-o-Meter I asked myself: is it really true that it’s nonsense to try to forecast a National Result on the basis of National Polls?
Again, bear in mind that these charts are slightly visually misleading in that each line represents a district, not a seat.
Caracas Chronicles is 100% reader-supported.
We’ve been able to hang on for 21 years in one of the craziest media landscapes in the world. We’ve seen different media outlets in Venezuela (and abroad) closing shop, something we’re looking to avoid at all costs. Your collaboration goes a long way in helping us weather the storm.Donate