The Peruvian Debacle


I spent most of last night in a state of catatonic shock at what happened in Peru. Just slowly rocking back and forward in my chair muttering “no, no, no, no puede ser…”

That Humala sends a cold shiver of dread down my spine will not surprise my readers. The amazing thing is that he’s going to the second round against a candidate that – to a simply shocking degree – is running on a “let’s go back to right-wing dictatorship!” platform behind the very thin veil of that smiling chirpy voice of hers.

Seriously, watch her campaign positioning: it’s one right-wing authoritarian shibboleth after another:

It’s…it’s…oh God I’m rocking again…

Has any nation in the history of democracy demonstrated worse electoral judgment? It’s simply staggering…

Post #2: Post Electoral Shock Disorder…

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  1. Has any nation in the history of democracy demonstrated worse electoral judgment?Yes, Venezuela. I know that we tend to find similarities with our problems everywhere, is like we are obsessed, but in this case it looks so much like Venezuela.
    When Humala lost the first time because the elites got scared I thought “I hope they realize that if they don’t make important changes, this guy or a similar one will come again and this time they won’t be able to stop it.” Did they do anything? No, they believed that growth translate into prosperity for all and it’s just not true. When you have so much people in poverty, discriminated against and ignored, you have a time bomb waiting to explode. And you know what Mexico is in the same situation, and what has been Calderon’s agenda? The war on drugs, instead of focusing on poverty. Alan Garcia was our Caldera, he had the window of opportunity to start a change that would bring stability to his country and he didn’t.

      • Peruvians, though, have a Special knack for electing HORRIBLE PEOPLE again and again and again for decades.

        They don’t even let semi-digestables into their second rounds! In the last 10 years, second round voters in Peru have had a choice between Alan FRIGGIN’ García, Ollanta BLOODY Humala and Keiko Coño’e’suPadre Fujimori!!

        Honestly, Rosales and Salar Römer are Nelson Mandela and Vaclav Havel next to that lineup…

        • As a Valenciano I am trying to visualise Salas Römer next to Vaclav Havel.

          May God have mercy with Peruvians. It must be some kind of Atonement for having practiced human sacrifices for so long and then following Pizarro’s steps.

    • Amén.
      Casi toda América Latina sigue sin darse cuenta de que está viviendo en la Edad Media políticamente hablando, repitiendo ad nauseam los peores hábitos caudillistas y feudalistas de la España de otrora.
      Una amiga europea me contó con horror lo que le dijo una argentina hace poco cuando le explicaba su actitud hacia ciertos grupos en su país: “sho, shoo no soy racista, lo que soy es clasista”. Lo dijo como si eso fuera bueno.

  2. There’s a lot to say about this election but here’s one thing people are not hinting at. Everyone simply assumes that because Fujimori is generally viewed as a right-winger and Humala is a left-winger, then whoever wins the center wins, right? In that sense, Humala and his “makeover” would have the edge.

    BUT – Fujimorismo is such a weird phenomenon, that it can get away with *both* being right wing *and* appealing to the poor and lower middle classes that usually would tend to vote left. In other words, Fujimori is the type of candidate that, if Humala gets over-confident and tacks to the center too strongly, can attack him from both the left and right flanks.

  3. I would prefer Keiko to Humala simply because I doubt she would ruin the economy and might be easier to get rid of if not good enough.

    When observing her face while talking I saw that she has an iron will.How she uses that will is to be seen.

    The fact that she will have to govern with other parties is a moderating factor.The Chavistas would be much harder to constrain, with the oil price so high, they would start buying up congressmen from the first day.

  4. Politics, democratic or not, are like wish-making; the real-deal wish-making of traditional myth. The wishes are binding on you and future generations and might turn out horribly wrong. Something like entering deals with Mr. Charlie, aka Lou Cypher, aka Daryl Van Horne…

    That’s because you (a group of persons, or many of them in democracy) choose persons to have power over you.

    Constitutions are there to save people from their own wishes of the moment, as a backup for your rights, should you decide to delete them, and/or to sign yourself off to an eternity in Hell. An eternity because you die eventually, but still there are the kids, for whom you thoughtlessly sign yourself and them away to slavery and debt-slavery.

    The Peruvian Constitution, with second-round voting, does just that now. Even now, Fujimori is to Humala what Chirac was to Le Pen. A bad choice for many, nevertheless a little more acceptable if your wits are not addled and your memory still works. It would take a wild imagination to invent anything about Humala’s beliefs, that he has not actually said. Racism, xenophobia, mythical past, caudillismo… All there, in his own words.

    Of course, it would still be bad to elect Fujimori. But Humala is the works.

    In Latin America, they should be steel, cermet and kevlar armored, and work like Honduras’s. You ever think of reelection, you are OUT, buddy. You ever get creative with it, you are OUT. Damn the voter’s momentary wishes, you are OUT.

  5. I think the most interesting question coming out of this election is, Why did PPK did not manage to convince middle-to-lower class voters or those voters in the periphery? I think we can all conjecture answers related to his elitist background and campaigning strategy, but at the end, what we need to understand is how the parallelisms between Pedro Pablo and the potential opposition candidate for 2012 can be applied to improve the opposition campaign for 2012.

    I have always said that the only thing I am appreciate of having Chávez as president for the past 12 years is thatm as a society we are constantly having a debate about how to redistribute wealth ,how to make the future society more fair overall, and why the old economic and political system was oppressive to the masses (or I would like to think we truly are having a debate about this) . This is something Colombia and Peru have not had, and I would say that this is a huge time bomb that will explode sooner rather than later.


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