Lloviendo Sobre Mojado Chronicles


I had great fun writing my election Set-Up piece for The New Republic

It’s tough writing so many of these without overlap, though. To keep it fresh, this time I tried to lean more on the cancer angle.

How sick Chávez may be is impossible to say. But his bout with cancer inevitably put his supporters in mind of his mortality. Chávez has always been more popular than the government he leads, and Venezuelans intuit that the president may not be able to serve out another six year term. When the big guy is not around anymore, what will be left behind are the institutions he has created. As it turns out they, too, are bloated, lumbering beasts, stricken by corruption that’s metastasized out of all control .

I love the photo they ran with it, though. Talk about Lloviendo Sobre Mojado…

Caracas Chronicles is 100% reader-supported. Support independent Venezuelan journalism by making a donation.


  1. Question: Why does N24 continue to run campaign advertisement for Chavez after the campaign has been formally closed ?

    Is the web media not in the CNE blackout ?

  2. Excellent article! In Capriles’ “space for contestation”, I would have mentioned Capriles’ tireless Herculean grass-roots door-to-door campaigning in multiple trips around the Interior of Venezuela, which, in my opinion, has been as important to his success as his conceptual framing of the issues.

  3. Great article, Quico. I would have developed more the theme that Capriles is Chavez’s heir rather than his competitor… but I guess we can talk about that on the blog.

    • On that point interesting what Capriles said about the CNE last night near the end of his interview on Globovision: words to the effect that, when they are doing their job with the results, they should consider that they too can have a place in a new Venezuela, or words to that effect. (Implicit, ambivalent message: there is redemption for chavista loyalists; and also, don’t f-k with the results because you won’t get away with it- he is appealing, both ways, to their mercenary instincts. Genius!)

  4. Have you noticed that the “institutional” messages running on VTV and elsewhere in Chavez-media show the finger selecting an icon on the tarjetón, and that the icon has Chavez’s official silhouette on it?

  5. Excellent, this “he chavista state is top-heavy with cronies and arbitrageurs who talk about the beauty of socialism all morning and siphon off the profits of crooked deals into off-shore bank accounts all afternoon. ” is a killer and an explanation that should shut up even the most hardened PSF.

    However, we know how sick Chavez is ( at the very least, let’s say there’s a lower bound) based on his own sparse admissions of the truth. The man is seriously ill, barring some improbable cure. And to be sure, campaigning cannot have helped him.

    In fact I stick to my prediction: The man has been committing a painful and slow suicide with the complicity of chavismo and his followers, just by not stepping down and dedicating himself 24 by 7 to his own treatment and recovery.

    If enough of us Venezuelans are dumb enough to vote for this man, we will be buying not into one, but two presidential elections in rapid succession.

    • I would not speculate on what ” it does not look sooner rather tan later” means for a cancer patient with a malignant tumor and recurrence, who has refused to take a rest for treatment and recovery…

      But best case “just for you”, we have two presidential elections in a year, not one. Superman exists only in comics, man.

  6. I don’t have to come up with anything. Capriles has to come up with almost 9 million votes toi win and that just ain’t gonna happen.

    In the 2006 closing campaign rally of Rosales he said that the polls were “neck to neck”. Final result 63% Chavez, 37% Rosales. Something similar will happen this time so get ready for another six years of the imposition of social equality and more expropriations.

    • And you say that as that’s a good thing. PLEASE, please, please, go to Venezuela and live there, as well as start up a private business. Pretty please! I’ll make sure to let Hugo know who you are :-). Anywho, just go there and live there, OK? And please, let us know just how wonderful and rosy and sweet-smelling your life there turns out. So, will you do that? I mean, put your money where your mouth is. Seriously.

      • right on ! it is easy to support other peoples dictators when you live in a free country where your liberties are gauranteed and there is security and life is lovely. Arturo and Cort have probably lived no where else ever.


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here