Pepe ex machina?


pepe-mujicaNow this is interesting,

Uruguayan president José Mujica will travel to Caracas on Wednesday, Montevideo daily El País has confirmed… The Uruguayan Senate plans to meet tomorrow Tuesday to authorize Mujica’s trip. Last Wednesday, Mujica cancelled a trip to Havana to visit his Venezuelan colleague given that “there is no possibility to see him. Mujica is meant to go to Venezuela to witness Chávez’s swearing in on Thursday, January 10th, but a trip to Havana is not ruled out.

Where have you gone, Pepe Mujica, a nation turns its lonely eyes to you…

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    • After expending all that energy convincing us that the swearing-in is a mere formality that can be done next Christmas if necessary? It would look like a climb-down, and in any case would be unconstitutional.

      • but they would have shown once again how inhumane the “fascist opposition” is… And after the discussion they could say, ok, we fulfilled the 10th january sworn in (in Cuba, but, that is another legalism anyway…)

  1. Why the fascination with Mujica?–He only goes to Venezuela with his hand out (between drinks), and returns home with it filled

    • For one thing, he states (and believes, I presume) that perpetuating yourself in power [albeit behind a (fixed) electoral system], is the stuff of monarchies. He has no interest in that for himself, a point ignored by the armchair PSFs that inhabit this board.

      For another, Pepe is not sucking up to Castro nor his Cuban courtiers. His wife, the senador Topolansky, states as the reason he cancelled his earlier trip to Cuba: “No tiene sentido” el viaje que pensaba realizar Mujica ya que los médicos que asisten a Chávez informaron que no se le puede ver, dijo la primera dama.

      There were a few other reasons why Mujica earned a little admiration among readers. But I get your drift. (If he looks like an alcoholic …. he probably is one.) Pinkoid NYT journalist Simón Romero soft-pedalled that note in his recent interview of Mujica.

      • Syd, all my respect to you, as usual, but I believe he is just another Chulo from the Cono Sur, albeit more authentic as a person than his (horrible) southern neighbor. And, I don’t really care if he is an alcoholic, but I have seen press conferences with Chavez where he literally can hardly talk, and then goes home with 24 Venezuelan Government contracts, which are paid for by this Thugocracy, but are usually never even fullfilled by the Uruguayan companies involved, some virtually none at all (e. g., certain many thousands of houses). Our Southern neighbors, now with Brasil added in, have perfected the con of milking the Venezuelan ignorant cow, although Uruguay is relatively new at this.

  2. Can anyone image what Chavez’s physical appearance must be? Five weeks in a hospital bed and no steroids? His loss of weight? His skin complexion? Any photographer able to sneek in to that ICU could earn a small fortune with just one snap. It’s lucky that he’s in Havana or that hospital would be mobbed with photo journalists.

  3. I disagree with an important part of your analysis. On January 10th if the President Elect does not show up for oath, they have the option to declare him temporarily incapacitated for 90 days (April 10, 2013), which can be extended to a total of 180 days, which brings us to July 9, 2013. If he is still alive by this date they still have a bit of wiggle room as the TSJ would need to declare him permanently disabled.

    Obviously on January 11th Maduro looses his cambur and returns to being a private citizen, he is simply the chosen candidate according to Chavez’s express wishes. Diosdado would need to be sworn in on January 11th as acting president for those 180 days until either Chavez comes back and takes oath or he dies. Once the TSJ declares the permanent absence, elections would be called in 30 days. In theory this would be the 8th of August, but the TSJ could take their sweet time.

    It looks as if they are going to take the TSJ to Habana and swear him in with Mujica as a witness, which would be a valid move. Stretching it, as it would mean that La Habana would be the seed the Gobierno….

    If Maduro becomes Presidente Encargado on January 11, he would be performing a coup.

    Artículo 231. El candidato elegido o candidata elegida tomará posesión del cargo de Presidente o Presidenta de la República el diez de enero del primer año de su período constitucional, mediante juramento ante la Asamblea Nacional. Si por cualquier motivo sobrevenido el Presidente o Presidenta de la República no pudiese tomar posesión ante la Asamblea Nacional, lo hará ante el Tribunal Supremo de Justicia. (The constitution provides for an alternative in case the president elect cannot be sworn in on 10E.).

    Cuando se produzca la falta absoluta del Presidente electo o Presidenta electa antes de tomar posesión, se procederá a una nueva elección universal, directa y secreta dentro de los treinta días consecutivos siguientes. (Not showing up to be sworn in does not constitute a falta absoluta, just a temporary one)

    Although it does not cover the falta absoluta for a president elect we can use the article relating to faltas absolutas: Artículo 233. Serán faltas absolutas del Presidente o Presidenta de la República: su muerte, su renuncia, o su destitución decretada por sentencia del Tribunal Supremo de Justicia, su incapacidad física o mental permanente certificada por una junta médica designada por el Tribunal Supremo de Justicia y con aprobación de la Asamblea Nacional, el abandono del cargo, declarado como tal por la Asamblea Nacional, así como la revocación popular de su mandato.

    The constitution also does not specify the falta temporal del presidente electo so we would have to use Artículo 234. Las faltas temporales del Presidente o Presidenta de la República serán suplidas por el Vicepresidente Ejecutivo o Vicepresidenta Ejecutiva hasta por noventa días, prorrogables por decisión de la Asamblea Nacional por noventa días más.

    Si una falta temporal se prolonga por más de noventa días consecutivos, la Asamblea Nacional decidirá por mayoría de sus integrantes si debe considerarse que hay falta absoluta

    This is how I see it! In theory if they maintain him alive they can push it so elections would be held 8A.

    • Long before 8A, the Venezuelan public will have grown used to a world without Chavez, will have tired of the BS, and will be ready to throw the bastards out.

  4. . It’s lucky that he’s in Havana or that hospital would be mobbed with photo journalists.

    Which, as readers of this blog are full aware, helps explain why Chavez is in Havana.
    I had read- maybe Daniel’s blog- that one reason why Chavez didn’t end up in Sao Paolo was that Chavismo/Fidelismo wanted complete control of the 400 bed hospital where Chavez would have been staying in Sao Paolo- control which not even leftist Brazilians were willing to cede to Chavez.

    I wonder if Mujica would be permitted to see Chavez.

  5. Maybe a wizard of Oz show will happen. Chavez will remain behind a curtain and only one or two Venezuelan officials will actually view his confirmation. The rest will be present but not necessarily witnesses. Fidel and Raoul will pull strings to move Chavez hands at the right moment.

  6. I am hearing the sounds of the other South American countries getting nervous: “Ok, Pepe. You go find out what the hell they are doing, and come back and let us know.

    • Even if he was drunk, the parts when he talks have been speed reduced to make him seem more drunk than he was, pretty lame if you ask me.


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