Opposition Quick Count Suggests a Late, Crazy Night Ahead
Here’s the low-down: it’s close. Very close. Close enough to make the next few hours especially volatile. The opposition’s quick count suggests a very narrow Capriles win. (With the...
Here’s the low-down: it’s close. Very close. Close enough to make the next few hours especially volatile.
The opposition’s quick count suggests a very narrow Capriles win. (With the stress firmly on suggests: we are emphatically not calling this one yet.)
Quick counts are inherently much more accurate than exit polls: they are computed from a statistical sample actual votes cast by actual voters and tallied by actual CNE machines which are then phoned in to Capriles HQ. That’s different from an exit poll, which is a tally of what people say about how they voted rather than of how they actually voted.
Last October, by this time, the oppo quick count suggested a comfortable Chávez win. The result eventually announced by CNE was within 1% of the quick count result, as expected.
When a quick count is too close to call it comfortably at this point in the night, you know it’s close.
Caracas Chronicles is 100% reader-supported.
We’ve been able to hang on for 19 years in one of the craziest media landscapes in the world. Now, the difficulty level was raised abruptly with the global pandemic. We’ve seen different media outlets in Venezuela (and abroad) cutting personnel to avoid closing shop. This is something we’re looking to avoid at all costs, and it seems we will. But your collaboration goes a long way in helping us weather the storm.
Donate
