Organization of American States Secretary General Luis Almagro set the Venezuelan twittosphere on fire last night with a startlingly strongly worded diplomatic letter to Tibisay Lucena condemning unfair electoral conditions ahead of 6D’s Legislative Elections. This Reuters piece gives a sense for just how unusually blunt – for a diplomatic communication – the letter was:

The Secretary General of the Organization of American States (OAS) on Tuesday severely criticized the head of Venezuela’s electoral board in a harshly-worded letter saying authorities were failing to ensure fair elections in December.

The OAS’ Luis Almagro wrote a 19-page letter to Tibisay Lucena, who heads Venezuela’s National Electoral Council (CNE), urging her to level the playing field between the Socialist Party and opposition.

“There are reasons to believe that the conditions in which people will vote … aren’t right now as transparent and just as the (electoral council) ought to guarantee,” wrote Almagro.

What’s staggering is to realize that the government is so hated now, it’s likely to lose badly despite 19-pages worth of jugarretas and dirty tricks.

The letter – together with Brazil’s refusal to participate in the charade of “electoral accompaniment” offered up by CNE in lieu of a proper observation mission – paints a picture of the diplomatic pressure the government is now under: just one more reason why an outright blatant fraud on 6D could have regime-ending consequences. (And not the most important one.)

Tons of people in the opposition are sleepwalking into power here: dazed to the point of being unable to see the pieces now falling into place one after another. 

 

18 COMMENTS

  1. That is not a “blunt” form of diplospeak. That is a complete abandonment of diplospeak. It is language not intended for diplomats and politicians. It is meant for the general public and for the people in the regime who have shown themselves to be incapable of interpreting diplomatic niceties.

    So, what does it mean? It means that the diplomatic community (or at least the OAS) has lost all patience with Maduro & Co. and decided that they just cannot do business with them.

    “sleepwalking into power”? I am not as sure about that. Is it not possible that they are better prepared than it seems, and that they are just holding their cards close to their chests? Wishful thinking? Perhaps. But I don’t think we will know that until we get there. And remember that there are still a lot of different scenarios to plan for, depending on how the regime decides to play it.

  2. As you say, pieces are falling into place one by one. I also discuss this process in my blog today: “El cerco se cierra en torno a Maduro, Cabello y los 500 pandilleros”. . As for MUD, I hope they have a post 6D plan of action already laid out, in case scenarios A, B or C are realized, qualified majority, simple majority or fraud.

  3. And apologists will say, “How could it be unfair, the opposition won.” Clearly, if the polls are right, without the tricks the MUD should be winning a supermajority. The fraud isn’t about keeping the oppo out of majority, it’s about keeping it out of supermajority.

    • An excellent point. In deference to the polling numbers, a ‘slight’ majority will be provided to the opposition. You can see this one coming a mile away.

    • There is another aspect of vote that counts heavily, and that is the popular vote. It was one thing five years ago, when the Opposition, with 52% of the popular vote, could claim the “majority”. But, even with a simply majority win of the assembly seats, the popular vote could be 75% or more for the Opposition. That overwhelming rejection of the regime by “el pueblo” will change the political dynamic of the country radically.

  4. Brazil has become a dictatorship just like Venezuela, there’s simply no difference if you consider only the executive branch of the government.

    Smartmatic conducts the electoral process in Brazil, which the opposition have found out recently that it’s impossible to audit, the diabolic machines are just inscrutable, they leave no trace; the government steals money from the state companies to fund the electoral campaigns of their candidates, making it very hard for the opposition to win any majority or relevant role in all this madness; the “Força Nacional”, the guys wearing red berets just like Che Guevara, was a force created as a way to repress political dissent anywhere anytime, and they are currently beating the hell out of the truck drivers in strike in 11 different states in a territory as vast as Europe, the videos are unbelievable, basically the same thing GNB does in Venezuela; finally, MST (a maoist colectivo) has been shooting the windows of journalists’ houses at dawn to instill fear just like it happens in Venezuela too.

    With that said, I say that I think it’s hilarious to see the Brazilian government pretending that they have any issue with the “candor” of the Venezuelan electoral process. Who they want to fool? The naive Americans?

  5. No one can sleepwalk to power. You may be elected, 135 of them might be elected, but if continue sleeping they won’t have not even one little miligram of second of power. This is our biggest problem.

  6. “just one more reason why an outright blatant fraud on 6D could have regime-ending consequences. (And not the most important one.)”

    Which is why Cabello and Rodriguez and the top corrupt military, (if they’re not smoking to much crack), will carefully orchestrate a laughable “Mud victory”, with the habitual final Fraudmatic adjustments, and concede a meaningless % “defeat”. Then you just Gerrymander and bribe a few new mud-crooks.

  7. It will be very interesting to see how the deteriorating ability of the Venezuelan government to import more from our dear Latin American brothers will influence the position those Latin American governments have regarding human rights in Venezuela.

    Time has shown over and over that people become defenders of democracy when autocrats don’t pay them.

    • Very true. Plus, a lot of Latin American governments and leaders have suffered a lot of personal insults over the years from the Chavista regime in the name of political expediency. Those insults have not been forgotten or forgiven. So much the better that their “payback” comes in the form of “defending democracy”.

  8. If Insulza were still Secretary General of the OAS, there is no way such a letter would have been written, given Insulza’s “There are no enemies on the left” viewpoint.

    Kepler has nailed it.

  9. Per “sleepwalking into power,” if you haven’t jogged for 16 years and suddenly hit the road for the long haul, your legs will be so lax from not running all those years that you’re probably going down a few times and can’t get your wind for the duration. MUD might wake up and find themselves in power which after the Chavista nightmare will indeed seem like a dream. I’ve said it before: Who is going to control the money? The petro bucks coming in from oil sales, which is all the cash flow the country has at this point. Better be wide awake for that battle.

    • Personally, I expect that, when the dust settles, Venezuela will have an Opposition/Military temporary government for about a year or so, before constitutional rule can be reestablished and real elections held once again.

  10. From AP article: “Diosdado Cabello, president of Venezuela’s National Assembly, responded shortly after Almargo’s statement, characterizing it as a threat and saying the OAS was a discredited organization.”

    Yawn….

  11. What is the worst case scenario for this election? I mean worst for the country….The regime cooks the books to give the opposition just a slight but meaningless victory, in the process supposedly declaring their commitment to democracy, and then continues to rule as authoritarians they are while most of the world does nothing?

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