What Can We Learn From Belarus?
Alexander Lukashenko, a close ally of Chávez and Maduro and “Europe’s last dictator”, is facing an unprecedented challenge to his power after rigging an election. What if Putin’s protégé falls under civilian pressure?
Tag: elections
While the Giant Sleeps, Maduro Goes All In
Using the TSJ to take over main opposition parties right after appointing the new CNE board of authorities, the regime wiped out the chances of de-escalation and doesn’t expect there will be a price to pay
When Did Venezuelan Democracy Die?
In December 2015 Venezuelan democracy took one big gasp for air, and chavismo decided that it would be its last. The murder weapons? CNE and TSJ
Reality Check: Fair Elections Will Take Time
The third item in Caretaker President Guaidó’s plan, organizing free and fair elections, would take three months at the very minimum. And it's not just about getting rid of the chavista die-hards on the electoral board.
Elections: A Short-term Risk for Dictators That Can Have Long-term Rewards
One study shows that elections often create short-term stability problems for dictatorial regimes, but those that ride out the electoral wave end up even more entrenched than before.
Tools for Change: How Far Will Elections Take Us Right Now?
As the crisis deepens and the possibility of an election to approve a new Constitution hovers over our heads, the old debate of voting or not in an election without fair conditions resurfaces stronger than ever before. What has changed?
Desolation and Fear Reign on Election Day at Gran Misión Vivienda Venezuela
A young mother living in a State’s Housing Program building had to suck it up on election day, afraid of Big Brother’s reprisal for not voting... or was it opportunism?
Forecasting the 2015 National Assembly Elections
Is it possible to forecast how many seats the government and the opposition will get in the National Assembly on the basis of National-level polls? It’s a tough...
Three Weeks Out: The Supposedly-(but-not-really)-Pre-Campaign Round Up
Let’s recap of the first seven days of non-campaign campaigning, or in criollo doublespeak: pre-campaña. Technically, you see, the official campaign only starts on April 1st and lasts a...
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