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Just short…

Well, according to the Coordinadora Democratica, the Reafirmazo amply fulfilled its legal purpose, but fell just short politically. It’s a bit of a disappointment for the opposition side, but if anything, it makes the coming dynamic all the more interesting.

I made the following little chart comparing the coordinadora’s claimed signature tally, with the vote totals Chavez received on July 30, 2000. In many ways this is apples and oranges, because as everyone knows, tu voto es secreto, tu firma no. (Your vote is secret, your signature isn’t, as the hateful slogan of chavista intidation goes.) More on this soon.

[For reasons incomprehensible to my HTML-novice hands, blogger leaves a huge empty space below before the table. Simply scroll down a few screens to see it. Sorry about this. $%(*$)*! bogger!]

<table border=0 cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 width=518 style=’border-collapse:

collapse;table-layout:fixed’>

Votes vs. Signatures

Chavez 2000

Opp. 2003

% swing

vote Swing

Central Caracas

387,360

359,206

-7.3%

-28,154

Amazonas

14,450

11,533

-20.2%

-2,917

Anzoategui

189,613

187,428

-1.2%

-2,185

Apure

53,527

50,174

-6.3%

-3,353

Aragua

292,915

176,513

-39.7%

-116,402

Barinas

105,207

76,625

-27.2%

-28,582

Bol?var

188,949

123,029

-34.9%

-65,920

Carabobo

303,701

309,682

2.0%

5,981

Cojedes

47,409

38,816

-18.1%

-8,593

Delta Amacuro

25,157

10,005

-60.2%

-15,152

Falc?n

131,304

129,403

-1.4%

-1,901

Gu?rico

98,481

71,210

-27.7%

-27,271

Lara

237,238

238,361

0.5%

1,123

Mérida

127,362

123,098

-3.3%

-4,264

Miranda

346,003

470,608

36.0%

124,605

Monagas

113,464

126,614

11.6%

13,150

Nueva Esparta

70,805

76,648

8.3%

5,843

Portuguesa

146,628

83,788

-42.9%

-62,840

Sucre

145,219

104,018

-28.4%

-41,201

T?chira

160,194

159,924

-0.2%

-270

Trujillo

116,568

83,031

-28.8%

-33,537

Vargas

58,958

42,821

-27.4%

-16,137

Yaracuy

82,836

93,466

12.8%

10,630

Zulia

312,415

466,410

49.3%

153,995

 

 

 

 

 

Total

3,757,773

3,602,051

-4.1%

-155,722

 

 

 

 

 

Firmazo source: Coordinadora estimate (www.eud.com)

2000 Election source: CNE (www.cne.gov.ve)

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Known to friend and foe alike as Quico, Francisco Toro is Executive Editor at Caracas Chronicles.

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