The most suspicious thing about the supposed IVAD poll showing Hugo Chávez beating all opponents by 20+ points, and enjoying popularity ratings in the (stratospheric) seventies?
The only people citing this clear outlier in the polls are José Vicente Rangel, Prensa Latina, Correo del Orinoco, Agencia Venezolana de Noticias, and Radio Nacional de Venezuela. All of them mouthpieces for the rrrégimen. None of them credible.
If you have the slides for this very fishy poll, please send my way and I will gladly post them.
Update: GTAvex provides a useful link to political scientist Ricardo Sucre’s web page, which contains a bunch of polls. The IVAD slides are not there. Apparently IVAD never releases its polls or its sampling information, so that’s that.
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IVAD polls are just not credible anymore. They are so inconsistent and mysterious. One day, Chavez is going down, the week after, he’s winning by 20 points. No sir, I don’t trust them.
I’m not even sure this is a legit IVAD poll anyway. For all we know, they polled in Catia only.
there was cacerolazo in catia the other day, you know…..
Guys,
Could you whois IVAD’s domain? It is associated not only with
Felix L Seijas but with NIC-Venezuela – CONATEL.
???
Saw it in Ultimas too …
IVAD doesn’t release its polls. Ever. This things are mostly leaked or piecemealed by JVR (as he does with most other polls).
Ricardo Sucre’s blogs usually uploads most current polls. Check if its there (on the downloads section)…
Search here: https://skydrive.live.com/?cid=c3c85cae5fedc6cd
Wow, that’s like the polling Motherlode, GTAVEX…I can’t believe I didn’t know about it until now…
My bad… I really thought I had posted it before…
JC
El Universal also reported it yesterday. But I guess the print edition did not reach Santiago yet 🙂
http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/111211/capriles-y-perez-polarizan-evolucion-de-las-preferencias
Que patético el escrito de El Universal – se saltan todas las peores noticias para la oposición. Intención de voto? Bien gracias. #JournoFAIL
Y ni mencionemos que 48% de los de Voluntad Popular no quieren que Leo gane…….
Es que uno no sabe si lo que da mas pena es IVAD o El Universal.
I’m cautiously optimistic, but I’ll ask around about this IVAD poll…
I saw that, but I didn’t know if it was the same poll.
I got a tweet from El Mundo who reports on IVAD as if baptismal font water, and includes the latest Hinterlaces who they note “similar to IVAD but not as favorable to Chavez”. Then again El Mundo is “the other” Capriles, and I do not recall EL Mundo tweeting on Datanalisis or Keller. Ah! Poll wars! Gotta love it!