The CFR Heebie Jeebies

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    Home of Very Serious People (TM)

    This CFR memo, by Patrick Duddy, gave me the heebbie jeebbies.

     Should Chavez appear to be losing the election, die suddenly, or withdraw from public life for health reasons, tensions are likely to rise in Venezuela, especially if the public suspects that Chavez has used extra-constitutional means to preclude or invalidate an opposition victory in order to sustain his regime’s hold on power. Protests over such actions, which could turn violent, may in turn lead to the imposition of martial law and the further curtailment of democratic rights in Venezuela. This would almost certainly trigger a major political crisis in the Western Hemisphere that pits countries seeking to restore democracy and the rule of law in Venezuela—including the United States—against those who support Chavez and the principle of noninterference in the internal affairs of other states.

    I explore some of the ramifications in my latest piece over on the IHT website.

    1 COMMENT

    1. PSUV presented a video where Juan Carlos Caldera supposedly accepts money (or some envelopes) from “a boss” and try to coordinate a meeting with Capriles but explains the meeting has to be out of the country due to the surveillance Capriles has.

      Capriles is doing a press conference right now related to this.

    2. that was the right thing to do… win over the ninis and at least is a bandaid on the face of the aponte aponte confessions. now i wonder why snowwhite jorgito and his other moral dwargfs like rizarrita etc don’t come out with “the sobornator’s” name and face???

    3. i meant two, typos happen when i’m eating light and crispy thin yuca fries sopped in my salads vinaigrette mmmm while reading twitter and answering you guys O.o sorry

    4. Re HeebyJeebies – or at least, sudden-onset HeebyJeebies; Why so? None of what is there, now posted in full * would be news per se to people living in-country. All these scenarios have been bruited about in fancy nosh-shops and areperias the length and breadth of the land. Undoubtedly a dodgy ambiance all round but how do rea people-on-the-ground feel: apart from voting wishes (i.e. be there on the day to vote) who thinks that the election aftermath would be more wisely viewed by CNN en Español at a judicious remove and who feels that it will be just as safe to stay on-the-spot and far more interesting?
      *http://www.cfr.org/venezuela/political-unrest-venezuela/p28936#cid=soc-facebook-at-other_report-political_unrest_in_venezuela-090112

    5. those who support Chavez and the principle of noninterference in the internal affairs of other states

      A nuil set, because Chavez himself supports “interference in the internal affairs of other states”.

      During the Honduran constitutional crisis, Chavez spoke out in support of Zelaya, and if IIRC, Venezuelan chavistas were in Honduras helping organize Zelaya’s supporters. Chavez a few years ago gave away some millions of $ of fuel oil in the U.S. through friendly local politicos. The Chavernment’s all-but-open alliance with FARC surely is interference in Colombia, Nor does Chavismo have any problem with Venezuelan subsidies to prop up the government of Cuba, or with Cuba sending thousands of operatives to assist the Chavernment against its opponents.

      Chavez and many of his followers complain bitterly of “interference” by international human rights and civil rights groups and agencies – but many of these same followers (mostly the foreign ones) applaud these same bodies when they criticize the U.S. or U.S.-allied governments.

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