From two different sources I learn that Credit Suisse is quoting a recent Datanálisis survey putting Maduro’s lead over Capriles at 9.7 points. This is down from about 15 points a few days ago. The margin of error is +-2.66%. The Swiss bank believes the race is tightening quickly, but not quickly enough for Capriles to win.
The new poll was conducted between April 1 and April 5, or right about when the campaign officially started. They surveyed 1,300 people nationwide, and used a ballot box to simulate the votes.
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If I get the report, I’ll try and give more details.(I saw the report, and that’s what it says)