Winning in Parapara?
A new analysis attributes much of the MUD's gains on 6D to improved performance in rural areas. But how did we do in Parapara?
Federico Sucre and Hector Briceño have an interesting post over at the Interamerican Dialogue’s webpage. They claim the opposition’s win in last December’s parliamentary election was due to chavista abstention, chavista null votes, and the opposition making greater inroads into rural areas.
Between 2006 and 2010, the opposition increased its electoral growth rates in the country’s smaller cities and large towns, but failed to penetrate the rural areas. In the five years leading up to the 2015 parliamentary elections, the opposition experienced inverse growth relative to the initial 1998-2006 period, finally reaching the country’s most rural areas. The rural support translated into the opposition’s greatest increase in votes, greater than in any other areas or previous periods, marking the breakdown of chavismo’s traditional strongholds.
That;s true in general, but I was sad to verify that the opposition still gets beaten soundly in our old hunting grounds of Parapara, in Guárico state. There, chavismo won 2-to-1.
Despite the gains, the opposition still has one tremendous problem in rural areas: they don’t really have any media. Newspapers are gone, radio stations belong to Diosdado, and there are no private employers really. Everything is in the hands of the government.
So while overall the opposition has made huge gains in rural areas, there is still a lot of work to do.
Caracas Chronicles is 100% reader-supported.
We’ve been able to hang on for 19 years in one of the craziest media landscapes in the world. Now, the difficulty level was raised abruptly with the global pandemic. We’ve seen different media outlets in Venezuela (and abroad) cutting personnel to avoid closing shop. This is something we’re looking to avoid at all costs, and it seems we will. But your collaboration goes a long way in helping us weather the storm.Donate