Regional elections are taking place tomorrow, so let’s take a look at the campaigns for each side and find out what everyone’s up to, shall we?

Heres the main song of the MUDs campaign:

The days of fiesta electoral are gone. The tune is catchy (there’s even a reggaeton section!), but its minor-key tones are nothing you’d dance to. Other than the purple filter muting the colors of the Venezuelan flag, nobody’s smiling. Everyone’s pissed, about to scream, punch something or even cry. People standing in long lines, and there’s Maduro dancing with Cilia. This is the election of arrechera.

Toma la calle
Vamos con todo
Di lo que sientes
Dilo con tu voto

The MUD really sobered up for this campaign. In its official YouTube page, there are press conferences about irregularities in the process and the problems of the nation. No background song, no happy colors. Still suffering a mayor backlash for accepting these conditions they present voting as a form of protest. Wanna honor the fallen? Vote.

Check out this video by Voluntad Popular:

Since the National Electoral Council (CNE) didnt allow for the removal of defeated primaries candidates from the lists, Voluntad Popular published video with the candidate’s right location on the ballot. Their song is even less bailable.

Acción Democrática goes dark. Theyve been campaigning for a while, convincing people that with adecos, life was better:

You know, at least you didn’t eat from the trash.

Primero Justicia even dares to suggest that there’s still a long road ahead:

Looks like the MUD’s biggest threat is not the government, but abstention. And look, if you’re too sad after watching their ads, there’s always Freddy Superlano and his raspacanilla.

Since we’re all lowering standards here, let’s talk about what’s going on in the government’s campaign.

Now this I can dance to! Chavismo loves to pretend that everyone’s happy and everything’s fine. But despite that oh eh oh eh sending you to constituyente times (totally not an accident), there’s not a thought-out strategy behind the piece that you can point out. It’s the bare minimum, because what’s the worst that can happen, right?

Of course, there are always classical malpractices. Here we have Rodolfo Marco Torres, candidate for Aragua, using Mercal’s official Twitter account to promote himself and, while Hector Rodriguez is the oddball in the bunch, sneaky and even conciliatory, there’s Rafael Lacava too.

Lacava’s strategy is to get people talking about him. Im falling into it by mentioning him, but I have to mention the donkey in the room. Literally:

He went full Lacava. Never go full Lacava.

So, okay, whats the takeaway?

These arent real elections for any of the players.

The opposition is using most of its resources to prevent abstention. They dont assume that winning will give them real power and, aware that an office is empty without support from the people, they frame tomorrow’s event as an act of protest.

As for the government, their lack of care shows what they think of the process. The game is to win with tricks and abstention; they might be okay with giving a few states away and they have the CNE in control, so they’re really not losing any sleep.

And overconfidence is dangerous…

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20 COMMENTS

  1. No, the offices the opposition wins are not empty without the support of the people. The people support the opposition. They’re empty because Miraflores simply witholds the funding they need to do their jobs while setting up a parallel chavista official to hand out the goodies. Yet another reason tomorrow is a sham.

  2. You hit on the salient points but to be more clear, this is a corrupted vote, voting centers have been moved, candidates on are the ballot that are no longer running and regardless of the real vote count (that no one will ever know publicly), the government will present the numbers that suit them. If the cheating is too high to hide, they will cut off the oppo winner at the knees. You’ve been informed that without subservience to the ANC, an elected governor will not be validated. Nothing new here. Why spend money on campaigns when the outcome is pre-determined? Oh wait a minute….. the government did fess up to the 8 million fraud on 30 July NOT. ANC is still rocking along. Only complete and utter financial collapse with international intervention will change anything in Venezuela. 19 years. How long can watching a train wreck coming go on?

  3. There is going to be a massive amount of abstention from traditional opposition. Middle class people, students, etc will not vote as they did on 16D.

    The swing factor would be angry chavistas and public sector workers ( the usual “i am nini i dont get into politics but still wear a red shirt) voting to hurt maduro or abstaining

    Ultimately goes down to which side gets less abstention. This is a deppresing and patetic campaign even to our standards. I think oposition still may win even with 40% total abstention since Maduro is so hated now.

    And of course, this is not taking into consideration the fraud that will likely happen either with the results or the aftermath that will render all those governors null to do anything relevant.

  4. The obvious problem with angry chavistas turning out to “make their voices heard” is that they vote in traditional chavista strongholds so the regime simply counts and announces their votes as having been cast overwhelmingly for the cause. And that’s a crapload easier than fudging numbers in centers that are traditionally held by the opposition, not that the regime doesn’t have a plan there as well.

    I simply refuse to believe that the regime would call elections and then be blind-sided by the results. It just doesn’t make sense. They’re way out ahead of the curve all the time and this one should be no different.

    • “He does not mention the possibility of fraud, despite seeing through the fraud of the “economic war” and “dolar today”.”

      Willingly ignorant, morally bankrupt, or intellectually dishonest by not mentioning those factors. Take your pick, or choose all three, he’s gulity if he still supports the regime.

      • He definitely does not support the regime if you read his posts. My phrasing was not good. What I meant is he calls bullshit on the regime blaming their economic incompetence on an economic war or on dolar today. Aporrea must not be censored by the regime.

      • And what I meant by”he does not mention fraud” is that he does not say that the regime will commit fraud in announcing the election results. I am not his publisher or agent. I just admire that the guy is willing to be so blunt in calling out the incompetence and corruption of the regime in post after post on a web site that is overwhelming populated by hard core Chavistas.

        • He must be very popular there. I assume he doesn’t live in the country or he’d likely have been hunted down by now and tried for treason for speaking the truth.

  5. The relevance of these elections is deafening. (Sarcasm.)

    Seriously, there are still people who think this matters in any possible way?

    There’s no scenario…opposition wins everywhere or administration cheating, low turnout or high, polling station abuses or not, violent or peaceful…that’s going to make a shit of difference.

  6. I shake my head at the thought of having another decade of chavismo, but, apathy is what is on display.

    MUD have only themselves to blame.

  7. this is the first election I vote in knowing there is 0% chance of anything changing tomorrow wathever the result. I’m just voting to try to prevent giving the goverment the satisfaction of a full capitulation, considering how the goverment have convinced us all that election are useless and that a big chunk of hard opposition have gone to chile by now, would expect a very low turnout

    • The full capitulation already happened. The real question is whether people will surrender as the politicians did and participate in rigged elections, or wheter people will abstain to prove the point that they will never surrender.

  8. This says it all:

    “President Nicolas Maduro says in a newly released video that Venezuelans should vote in Sunday’s gubernatorial elections to show the nation has a “vigorous democracy.’ “

  9. I am hearing that the voting machines require a 2 second push to register. ; Just pushing and releasing is a null vote. Voters may not realize that their vote was nullified. Total BS and fraud.

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