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First projection: Chávez government will not have a 2/3 majority

On the basis of early results from various voting centers, we feel confident in projecting: the Chávez government will not have a 2/3 majority in the new National...

Francisco Toro September 26, 2010

Life

We Got Nothin'

The nervy hour is here. The atmospherics are good for the opposition, but numbers are scant. The handful of oppo exit polls are a waste of money: with very...

Francisco Toro September 26, 2010

Life

Venezuela's Quirky Election

Picturing the results announcements tonight is kind of a nightmare for me. Aside from the usual chaos of Venezuela’s elections, we will have the despelote of numbers and...

Francisco Toro September 26, 2010

Life

Venezuela's Quirky Election: The Lists

Newbies to Venezuelan politics may not know that the voting system for Venezuela’s National Assembly (our local parliament) is mixed. What this means is that some deputies are...

Francisco Toro September 26, 2010

Life

Grist from the rumour mill

I’m going to be guarding the blog for the rest of the day. You can also follow my twitter feed for more up-to-date information. A few nuggets I’ve...

tantraweb September 26, 2010

Life

Another ad, exterminate them!

Increasing signs that the chavista platform this election is simply to … exterminate (murder?) the opposition. Lovely.  

tantraweb September 26, 2010

Life

Oppo Targets: Put Your Dato in Context

Through the course of the day, you’re sure to hear a number of rumors about results in individual circuits. Maybe you’ll hear that a Quick Count has the...

tantraweb September 25, 2010

Life

Three More Maps: The Circuits in 2007, 2008 and 2009

Just so we’re clear on how big an ask that 26S Victory Map I keep on the right-hand column is, I thought we should review what the "Circuit-by-Circuit"...

tantraweb September 25, 2010

Life

The Beeb Rounds Out the Set-Up Pieces

The BBC’s Will Grant gets in on the  election preview action (and very kindly throws a link my way, too!) The days of super-concentrated portrayals of the opposition as...

tantraweb September 24, 2010

Life

10 Predictions about 26S

1. Each of the TV talking heads will say the phrases "jornada cívica", "con toda normalidad" and "ejercer su derecho al sufragio" at least 200 times over the length...

tantraweb September 24, 2010

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