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Fact-Checking Rubio & Delcy

Chavismo and the secretary of state claimed on Friday that 130 political prisoners would be released. Human rights NGOs put the actual number of releases closer to 80.

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A new Supreme Court? PRR analysis:

The agreement has to do with the “transformation of the justice system.” The opposition delegation easily managed to get the government to agree to the complete overhaul of the Supreme Tribunal, which would encompass replacing all the justices. Also, they will reform the rules that govern the process to elect new judges, as well as revising “other laws of the justice system.” These other laws, according to the source, have to do with legislation used to persecute opponents (such as the Law Against Hate) which could also have effects over the sentences of many political prisoners that are still behind bars.

We can expect this progress to continue as long as the US remains next door to the room where it happens. In the best scenario, this would demolish one of the pillars of almost three decades of chavista omnipotence, an always loyal TSJ that never, ever ruled against the State. In the worst scenario, this could be delayed and drowned in technicalities to produce a slightly more palatable version of the current TSJ, which in that case would amount to some progress compared to the current one, which confirmed Maduro’s fraud in 2024 and Delcy Rodriguez’s illegal permanence as interim president in 2026. How plausible is a proper renovation?

Click here for access to our latest Political Risk Report (PRR 531: The Room Where It Happens).

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