Poll Nerd Heaven
Can it really be that Ricardo Sucre’s massive trove of Chávez era polling slides has been hiding in plain sight for all these years, and I didn’t know about...
Did Luisa Estella really say it's OK to invade? (Updated: Probably, but doubts remain)
The media in Venezuela are abuzz with the latest sentence from the Supreme Tribunal. In it, the Court says that Article 471 of Venezuela’s Penal Code, which supposedly...
The state of play, video version
Trying to catch up with the state of the campaign videos. First off, this excellent biographical spot from the Pablo Pérez campaign. Next, a simple ad from Leopoldo...
Today's Must-Read
…is Tom O’Donnell’s latest on the Chinese frustration over chavista foot-dragging on Faja projects. The gap between the conventional wisdom and the real story here is especially wide....
Quo IVADis?
The most suspicious thing about the supposed IVAD poll showing Hugo Chávez beating all opponents by 20+ points, and enjoying popularity ratings in the (stratospheric) seventies? The only...
A little break
The holidays are upon us, and here in Chile it coincides with the end of the school year and the beginning of summer vacation. So I’m a bit...
From the rumour mill
I’ve been trying to get more information on what’s going on inside the opposition camps, and here is what I have found out. Take all of this with...
Highlights from the Varianzas November 5th-17th Poll (N=1,900)
This poll was out in the field early last month, so of course it doesn’t capture any changes stemming from the November 15th debate, or from last night’s....
What happened at tonight's debate?
OK, here’s our inst-analysis. Tonight, María Corina Machado wiped the floor with her opponents, though that probably won’t do her any good when the votes are counted. Henrique...
Live-blogging the Venevisión debate
11:13: Pablo Perez is a disaster, people, let’s face it. 11:12: Oh man, Leopoldo continues talking about his Inhabilitación. Major mistake. 11:10: Capriles calm, cool, confident, and...
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