Flavio Bolsonaro is the clear favorite going into the second round. No longer a coin flip. However, if Lula now somehow pulls off a second round upset, there is essentially zero chance that the Bolsonaro family or most of his party will accept that result as legitimate.

— boz (@bloggingsbyboz) October 5, 2026

🫓 In case you missed it: Delcy embraced Peña on Saturday, another Trump ally in the region. Paraguay thus formally broke with years of staunch antichavismo: images of Marito Abdo standing alongside Guaidó or Horacio Cartes (the contentious head of 🇵🇾 hegemonic party) praising… https://t.co/E1VL3Xbccv pic.twitter.com/9EbBhGIQsD

— Caracas Chronicles (@CaracasChron) September 21, 2026